Category Archives: Gambling

Something Something March Madness Preview


I haven’t filled out my bracket yet. Let’s walk you through my failure!

The 2016-17 college basketball season was characterized by an absurdly strong commitment by all teams to keep fans not knowing what the hell was going on. I saw the top 25 at some point this season headlined by Baylor, a team who I didn’t know (and still don’t think, FWIW) was good. Kansas, Villanova, Gonzaga, Kentucky, and Duke also spent time at #1, and all five would be pretty good picks to win it all.

There were no Kevin Durant or Anthony Davis performances by freshmen, as the young guys largely (non-Lonzo Ball/Malik Monk division) underperformed compared to expectations. Instead, senior Frank Mason (Kansas), junior Josh Hart (Nova), and junior Justin Jackson (UNC) won conference player of the year awards and each led their teams to #1 seeds.

Basically, you can’t get this right. I know nothing, so here we go.

East

Favorites: Villanova and Duke, and given Duke’s performance last week could be viewed as interchangeable. If you’ve followed the blog for long, you know that brings me zero joy. As the defending champ, Villanova comes in with more experience, but Duke has amassed an insane amount of talent and finally sat repugnant asshole Grayson Allen in favor of athletic PG Frank Jackson.

Final Four possibilities: I submit #5 Virginia and #6 SMU. Virginia suffered a midseason lull, but almost won at Villanova in a weird late-season nonconference game. SMU is back from last year’s postseason ban, and damn near won the AAC title with what we thought would be a depleted roster.

#3 Baylor, as referenced above, I’m not buying. Florida is the 4, and they played well in the SEC. Take that for what it’s worth.

Potential crazy upsets: #8 Wisconsin over Villanova in round 2, as they’ll at least limit possessions and keep the game close. It’ll be aesthetic hell to watch if they can pull it off. I’ll give #7 South Carolina over Duke a slight nod as well since the game would be in Greenville, SC, where UNC also plays, which means a good chunk of the crowd will be heavily invested in cheering for Duke’s opposition. Finally, whomever wins the play-in between #11’s USC and Providence will have a puncher’s chance to beat SMU and go on a run.

S16: Villanova/Virginia/SMU/Duke
E8: Villanova/Duke
Winner: Villanova

West

Favorites: Gonzaga is the first mid-major since Wichita State (in 201…2? maybe?) to get a #1, and they actually promise to be a tough out. Wichita State ran into an 8-seeded Kentucky team that nearly won the whole damn thing. #2 Arizona lost to Gonzaga in the regular season, but was without two key players and just won the top-heavy Pac-12. #3 Florida State looks like an NBA team from a size and athleticism POV.

Final Four Possibilities: #4 West Virginia presses like crazy, #5 Notre Dame is good…this one’s tough. Special shout-out to St. Mary’s at the 7-seed as well, they’d be the nation’s top mid-major…had they not lost to Gonzaga three times. Hell, 11 seed Xavier started the season in the top 10-15 in major polls.

Potential Crazy Upsets: Either #7 St. Mary’s or #10 VCU could beat Arizona in Round 2. Same for #6 Maryland and #11 Xavier over Florida St. I’m gonna ride with #12 Princeton over Notre Dame as my 12/5 because both teams play such a slow tempo that it’ll come down to the final two minutes.

I know you’re looking at Vanderbilt/Northwestern’s winner (damn this is an academically-sound bracket, even with Florida St. and Arizona) as a possible Gonzaga-beater…but both teams are hella inadequate to do this.

S16: Gonzaga/WVU/Florida St./St. Mary’s (ALL SUBJECT TO CHANGE)
E8: Gonzaga/Florida St.
Winner: Florida St., who serves as my annual ‘Final Four pick to lose on Day 1’.

***IF YOU ARE WILLING TO SPONSOR THIS WEBSITE FOR FOOTBALL SEASON 2017, I’LL LOCK THIS BRACKET IN AND LET YOU MOCK ME WHEN FLORIDA STATE LOSES TO FGCU.***

Midwest

Favorites: Kansas is here. Louisville is big and again developed a sick combo guard in Shelton Mitchell.

Final Four possibilities: If I don’t go rock chalk, there are a bunch of teams that could theoretically have potential. However, #3 Oregon just lost a key player, apparently. #4 Purdue was the best team in the B1G and didn’t win a game in their conference tourney. #5 Iowa State is hotter than most teams, and I didn’t know that until looking at the ‘info’ button on the brackets. #7 Michigan is riding high after the plane derailment/B1G title, and #9 Michigan St. is always a tough out in March because Tom Izzo.

This bracket has nobody I’m actually that confident in.

Potential Crazy Upsets: I mean, pick one. I’ve got my eye on Oregon and Iowa State to possibly both get KO’d in the first round. Literally anything besides Kansas vs. play-in is on the table.

S16: Kansas, Purdue, Rhode Island, Louisville
E8: Purdue, Louisville
Winner: Louisville

South

Favorites: Uhhh…Carolina, Kentucky, and UCLA are interchangeable as 1/2/3, with Carolina having the advantage of having to play one of them, at most. Butler is the fundamentally sound gym rat squad of the tournament who could give the three aforementioned up-tempo teams fits.

Final Four possibilities: Gonna be a tough road to hoe, but #6 Cincinnati and #10 Wichita State both feel criminally underseeded.

Potential Crazy Upsets: The 12/5’s strike again. Minnesota seems pretty nondescript and Middle Tennessee went 30-4. #13 Winthrop has some dude scoring 23 points a game, and guard play wins in March. Anyone knocking off the top 3 would register as well, and I think Cincinnati over UCLA and Wichita over Kentucky in round 2 should both at least merit consideration.

S16: UNC, Middle Tennessee, Cincinnati, Kentucky
E8: UNC, Kentucky
Winner: Kentucky (let’s…let’s not talk about it.)

Final Four

Villanova vs. Florida St., Kentucky vs. Louisville: Seriously, Florida State is such a weak pick here. Villanova picks them apart and wins by 17. Hey, the nation’s (second) best rivalry! I think its a Kentucky run year.

Shit. Go SEC, I guess.

 

Video #DYCPicks: Week 1 Picks Against the Spread – Every SEC Game + Top 25 vs. Top 25 Match Up


Date Time Favorite Underdog Pick
1-Sep 7:30 Tennessee (-20.5) App State (+20.5) Tennessee (-20.5)
1-Sep 8:00 Vanderbilt (-4) South Carolina (+4) South Carolina (+4)
3-Sep 12:00 Oklahoma (-12) Houston (+12) Oklahoma (-12)
3-Sep 12:00 Mississippi State (-28) South Alabama (+28) South Alabama (+28)
3-Sep 12:00 West Virginia (-10) Missouri (+10) West Virginia (-10)
3-Sep 3:30 Texas A&M (-3) UCLA (+3) UCLA (+3)
3-Sep 3:30 LSU (-10) Wisconsin (+10) LSU (-10)
3-Sep 4:00 Arkansas (-26) Louisiana Tech (+26) Louisiana Tech (+26)
3-Sep 5:30 Georgia (-2.5) North Carolina (+2.5) Georgia (-2.5)
3-Sep 7:30 Kentucky (-6) Southern Miss (+6) Kentucky (-6)
3-Sep 7:30 Florida (-36.5) Umass (+36.5) Florida (-36.5)
3-Sep 8:00 Alabama (-11) USC (+11) Alabama (-11)
3-Sep 9:00 Clemson (-7) Auburn (+7) Clemson (-7)
3-Sep 2:00 Washington (-26.5) Rutgers (+26.5) Rutgers (+26.5)
5-Sep 8:00 Florida State (-4) Ole Miss (+4) Florida State (-4)

 

Watch the video with some of my comrades as well.

 

Be sure to subscribe to my real gig podcast (The Investing Podcast) on iTunes to watch me demolish these fools all season long.

 

That’s all I got/

Andrew

 

 

IMPORTANT AUBURN POST


This has been an important Auburn post.

Love this? Hate it? Think I’m an idiot? Don’t just curse at me under your breath, head to the Dude You Podcast iTunes page, and leave a 5-star review to make sure I know it, and have your voice heard on the air.

DudeYouPodcast 144: UGA Week Ten Recap


NOT your typical DudeYouPodcast. Not just because Georgia won (ha ha ha), but because the crew breaks down not only the game, but perhaps the biggest story in college football in decades: the student action at Mizzou.

Listen streaming on Spreaker.

Listen on iTunes.

Subscribe for free, and leave a 5-star review to hear your words on the air.

Email us at tips@dudeyoucrazy.net.

Love this? Hate it? Think I’m an idiot? Don’t just curse at me under your breath, head to the Dude You Podcast iTunes page, and leave a 5-star review to make sure I know it, and have your voice heard on the air. Follow me at @dpalm66.

Georgia Football Knee Jerk Reactions: Kentucky Edition


Wait. What if they’re all bad?

I said those somewhat prophetic words on DudeYouPodcast during our UGA season preview. The news of Lambert’s ascension to the top of the quarterback depth chart coming out of camp sent the DPalm Spinzone © into overdrive. Sure, it had done it’s job in talking me into Brian Schottenheimer as a play caller, despite literally hours and hours of evidence saying I shouldn’t. But, I reckoned, the worst case scenario under center would still be playing to this team’s strengths: using the quarterback as a game manager, transcendent talent in the backfield, creative play calling and a stout defense would carry this team all season.

Saturday, that DPalm Spinzone © dream came true.

Ignoring the inescapable ineptitude that has become our offensive line (more on them later), this was the picture I thought we’d see out of Athens all year, to be honest. We all got sucked in by the fools gold after lights out Lambert performances, and the injury to Chubb might have had a bigger psychic impact than we thought at the time, but if this team can keep getting the ball in the hands of Sony and Brendon and Terry and Joystick and, of course, KEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEF, then I like our chances offensively. Schotty even broke out the old Wild Dawg because of course he did. Now, if we can cut back on that multiple quarterback thing (spoilers: they ARE all bad), then we might have a chance to win these last three in a somewhat inspirational manner.

The Good:

– 52 runs. Fifty. Two. Fiddy two. No matter how you say it, it always sounds good. Not only does it play to our aforementioned strengths, but man does it make a stat sheet look GOOD. UGA held the ball for 37:36 to UK’s 22:24 on the strength of the rushing attack, and controlling the clock is a great step in the right direction. Sony’s broken hand worries me on the outside runs, since he can’t swap the side that he’s holding the ball on at all, making fumbles a possibility, but that’s a risk I’m more willing to run than letting these quarterbacks throw it.

– MASSIVE tip of the cap to Malcolm Mitchell. I think before this season, we as Georgia fans had kind of downplayed the ‘what if’ factor of his ability and talent, seeing so much time robbed from him via injury. It was easier to think that he wasn’t as good as we remembered than it was to think about how good this team would have been with a real quarterback and a healthy Mitchell. But, he’s been the brightest of spots for our passing attack this year, and now that we’ve gone away from that, he was ACTIVE blocking downfield all day Saturday. This won’t get commended most places, but I’ll be damned if I ignore a skinny kid doing good blocking here.

– I love this defense. I love Dominick “JUST GET OUT OF BOUNDS” Sanders. I love allowing 180 total yards at home, and I love the fact that no matter what has happened in the last month, this unit remains committed to a style of play that is viewer friendly and effective. Keep doing what you’re doing defense.

– Gotta mention the creative playcalling again, and the welcome return of the screen game. UGA has been lights out running screens since I was in high school, and it’s amazing what an effective running game can do to open up screen lanes.

The Bad:

– I said it Saturday.

I say it again today. I recognize that sometimes you have to stick with a personality or a voice in an on-the-field leadership role, and that the alternative to Theus might be too young, not good enough, not ready, whatever. But watching this offense get mired behind and alongside an overrated blocker makes me scream for some change, any change along the line. Oh god. I’ve turned into a #FireMarkRicht-er over Theus. How did this happen? This is 100% John Theus’ fault.

– I mean.

The Ugly:

– Mistakes, mistakes, mistakes. Sure, we can overcome them against an underwhelming performance from a not so great UK team, but against this NEXT team on the schedule, it shouldn’t work at all.

Winning hides the mistakes, losing magnifies them, but the mistakes are always there. Hopefully, these guys can take the lessons from this game, as well as the confidence, and let them carry the team going forward. No matter how many corrections need to get made, it’s easier to do with a win the pocket. Besides, no one’s day was worse than this kid’s.

Go Dawgs.

Love this? Hate it? Think I’m an idiot? Don’t just curse at me under your breath, head to the Dude You Podcast iTunes page, and leave a 5-star review to make sure I know it, and have your voice heard on the air. Follow me at @dpalm66.

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