Monthly Archives: January 2016

DudeYouPodcast 153: Royal Rumble Review


A week before the Super Bowl is basically an excuse for me to run two rasslin pods in a row. And I took advantage. Back on the pod is Sam Franco, who you should listen to on the morning show from 6-10 over at 960 The Ref.

Listen streaming on Spreaker.

Listen on iTunes.

Subscribe for free, and leave a 5-star review to hear your words on the air.

Email us at tips@dudeyoucrazy.net.

Love this? Hate it? Think I’m an idiot? Don’t just curse at me under your breath, head to the Dude You Podcast iTunes page, and leave a 5-star review to make sure I know it, and have your voice heard on the air. Follow me at @dpalm66.

Georgia Football: Recruiting Issues, Part II


In what we can call “Part II” of the ‘Georgia recruiting has not been as good as you think it is’ series, another compilation of data. The following is a word-for-word repost of Andrew from December 1, 2014. The numbers have obviously changed since then, but the theme remains the same: Georgia is not yet equipped to be a national contender. 

One of the recurring themes on comments I’ve seen (on my article from yesterday as well as Chad’s article from yesterday) is the notion that “anyone with this much talent should be winning a National Championship.”

I’m not sure where that notion comes from.

Obviously, the measure of talent is somewhat arbitrary.  I don’t pretend to believe that recruiting services are fool-proof, but I do think it’s safe to say that recruiting analysts are better at measuring and ranking talent than the average fan.  After all, they’re making a living off predicting how well a high school player will perform at the collegiate level.  So unless someone sees something consistently in the form of an “eye test” that indicates Georgia has more talent than every other school in the country, using recruiting class rankings and player ratings is about as good of a measure as any.

Through that framework, Georgia isn’t the most talented team in the country.  In fact, I can make a case—based on talent—that Georgia should not be winning a national championship, because four teams in the Bulldogs’ own conference boast more theoretical talent.  Not surprisingly, those four teams also happen to be the only four teams who have won an SEC Championship more recently than Georgia.

Using data from the 247Sports Composite (which reconciles multiple recruiting services) I found that Georgia’s average recruiting class ranking over the past five years (2010-2014) is a respectable 9.0.  That would be great, except:

  • Alabama: 1.8
  • Florida: 5.8
  • LSU: 7.6
  • Auburn 8.2

 

Want to talk elite top-end talent?  Georgia has signed ten 5-star players over this time period.  Alabama as signed 19.

Georgia’s reeled in fifty 4-star athletes.  Every school in this sample pulled in at least 10% more than Georgia.

  • Auburn: 55
  • Florida: 62
  • LSU: 67
  • Alabama: 73

 

In total, Georgia has signed 106 players with a 3+ star rating over the course of this five year period.  Again, that figure is strong.  It’s just not better than:

  • Florida: 121
  • LSU: 123
  • Auburn: 124
  • Alabama: 128

 

There’s no basis, as far as recruiting is concerned, for making the argument that Georgia has “too much talent not to win a national championship,” because Georgia doesn’t even hold a decisive recruiting edge within its own division, let alone the conference.

“But,” I can already hear you saying.  “What about all those big, bad Bulldogs in the NFL.”

What about them?

Georgia has 48 players on NFL rosters according to this database.  That’s fantastic.  LSU has 56 and Alabama has 54.  Florida is right behind with 47.  Where’s the edge?

If we want to look at a more finite and recent term, Alabama has had 37 players drafted over the past five years.  LSU has had 35 drafted over the same time frame.  Georgia has had 28 players selected during that epoch.

 

If Georgia doesn’t have a talent advantage as measured by incoming talent (recruiting rankings) or out going talent (the NFL Draft), why the hell would we assume that Georgia has a talent advantage during players’ collegiate years?  That seems ludicrous to me.

 

That’s all I got/

Andrew

Georgia Football: Dawgs Need to Adopt the LSU In-State Recruiting Model


(Post-publish edit: I cherrypicked data for simplicity because I have a day job, but am hoping to make a part 2 about what Georgia can do to change this later.) 

Despite the recent struggles and Les Miles drama, LSU has consistently been the second-best recruiting program in the country over the Alabama Death Star Dynasty Era. Why have they been able to do this, despite HEAVY coaching turmoil, a slipping defense, and an offense that puts out top-flight NFL talent but struggles at the collegiate level?

They absolutely DOMINATE the state of Louisiana.

Of their current 22 commits (in potentially the first class ever to consist of 20 4 and 5-star talents), a whopping 16 are from the gumbo state. Given the lack of power conference competition in-state, it makes sense. They have border rivals in Texas, Mississippi, and Arkansas, and of course always have Alabama lurking for the cream of the crop, but they have been able to lock down the state in a way Georgia hasn’t.

I’m not going to ignore the fact that Georgia has more ‘local’ recruiting rivals. Clemson, Auburn, Alabama, and to a lesser extent Florida State, Tennessee, and South Carolina likely have their primary focus on the Peach State. And the metro Atlanta area is imminently more transient than anywhere in Louisiana– many high school players (not researching these numbers) relocate to Georgia over the course of their lives and don’t feel the pull to stay at home.

It still begs the question, though: why isn’t Georgia keeping more of these guys at home, where a drive from metro Atlanta to Athens for parents is a 90-minute drive?

We all recall the ‘Georgia Dream Team’ from the 2011 recruiting class, which can now be classified as a failure. The fact is, Georgia could build an even stronger recruiting and gameday force if they could keep even half of the state’s top 25 at home. DeShaun Watson and Cam Newton come to mind. But just going back to 2013, you see:

2013: 0 of the top 7, including Robert Nkemdiche, Carl Lawson, and Montravious Adams. #8 was Tray Matthews, so Georgia essentially was shut out of the top 10. Of the top 15, Georgia had one on campus for more than one year: Brice Ramsey.

2014: 3 of the top 5: Carter, Chubb, Parrish. But famously coming in late on Watson indirectly cost Mark Richt his job. Raekwon McMillan is a future first-round pick at Ohio State. And the Dawgs were shut out on players 6-15, losing three each to South Carolina and Auburn, and two more to Clemson.

2015: Richt’s strongest effort in recent memory. 5 of the top 10, including Trent Thompson, Roquan Smith, and Terry Godwin, among others. The losses of Taj Griffin and Clemson’s day-1 starting LT, Mitch Hyatt, though, sting.

2016: Currently, Georgia is shut entirely out of the top seven, with enrolled DT Julian Rochester the highest-ranked Georgia commit.

To compare to LSU:

2013: 8 of the top 15, 7 of the top 8. Sweet Jesus.

2014: 8 of the top 15, 5 of the top 10, and a guy named Leonard Fournette.

2015: 9 of the top 15, including the top three.

2016: 10 of the top 15, including ALL EIGHT current commits ranked in the top 10.

Over the past 3 1/2 recruiting classes, LSU has secured commits from 35 of its state’s top 60 players. Georgia? 17, with the likelihood that they’ll add 1-3 more next week. 

All told, LSU has struggled on gamedays due to scheme and being just slightly less Alabama than Alabama. Given Georgia’s recent struggles, we’re in the same boat except with lesser talent. If the Dawgs are to successfully challenge Alabama (which, given the Smart hire, they intend to do), they need to fence the state.

The 2013 class, of which Georgia has zero top-15 contributors, could have been an early sign of Mark Richt’s demise. The 2014 failure to bring in a QB, namely Watson, was the death knell.

There may be a followup to this, but the simple fact is this: LSU is crushing recruiting in-state, and is a schematic adjustment away from being the LSU juggernaut of the past 10 years. Georgia is getting killed by local rivals, and needs to shift its focus to keeping its top players (in the top per-capita state for collegiate talent) at home.

 

 

 

DudeYouPodcast 152: Royal Rumble Preview


It’s still the offseason, and I’m still rocking that non-football pod life. This week, Dirty South Soccer’s own Sam Franco sat in and we talked this weekend’s Royal Rumble and the recent WWE talent raid.

Listen streaming on Spreaker.

Listen on iTunes.

Subscribe for free, and leave a 5-star review to hear your words on the air.

Email us at tips@dudeyoucrazy.net.

Love this? Hate it? Think I’m an idiot? Don’t just curse at me under your breath, head to the Dude You Podcast iTunes page, and leave a 5-star review to make sure I know it, and have your voice heard on the air. Follow me at @dpalm66.

Ouch, EA Sports. Former Dawg Blair Walsh Gets Trolled


For a licensed NFL product, this is just…brutal.

If you’ve played EA Sports’ Madden 16 (and, let’s be honest, if you’re 35 or under and reading this site, you have), you know how ridiculously easy it is to make field goals.

According to them, this is how hard you have to try to miss Walsh’s 27-yard choke last Sunday against the Seahawks.

STOP SHOOTING, EA SPORTS, HE’S ALREADY DEAD!

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