Week 6 SEC Preview
Great week for the Dude last week. Never a doubt. Strong showing. I’m the best.
|Week 5||Game Score||Result|
|Missouri -3.5||Mizzou 24, S. Car 10||WIN|
|Alabama +2||Alabama Too Much, Georgia Too Little||WIN|
|Auburn -20||Auburn 35, SJSU 21||Loss|
|Ole Miss -7||LOLOL||Loss|
|Arkansas +6.5||Arkansas 24, Tennessee 20||WIN|
|Eastern Michigan +44.5||LSU 44, EMU 22||WIN|
|Vanderbilt +4.5||Vandy 17, MTSU 13||WIN|
|Texas A&M -7||Texas A&M 30, Miss St. 17||WIN|
Week 5: 6-2
Now let’s keep the magic magic-ing. All lines as of Thursday early morning. All lines via Caesars Palace accessed Via OddsShark.com. All games on Saturday.
New Mexico State at #14 Ole Miss, 12 p.m., SEC Network
I think New Mexico State has gotten better each game this year. I don’t know that for a fact because I haven’t seen them play a down, but I think they’re hungry. A lot hungrier, perhaps, than they were in the season-opener against Florida. Close losses to Georgia State (34-32) and UTEP (50-47) and a loss to in-state rival New Mexico (38-29) in a game that was tied in the fourth quarter has these Aggies ready to eat. And by “ready to eat” I mean “ready to lose by fewer than 43.5 points. Also on NMSU’s side: the transitive property. Florida beat NMSU by 48 points but Florida was 28 points better than Ole Miss last week, which means Ole Miss should just be 20 points better than New Mexico State.
My Pick: New Mexico State +43.5
#7 LSU at South Carolina at LSU, 3:30 p.m., ESPN
I’m too lazy to do the research on who’s actually attending this game now that it’s been moved to Baton Rouge as a result of the flooding in Columbia. But emotional implications aside, this can’t help South Carolina. And the movement on the line has been nuts. It opened at 13 and is now 18.5. I think South Carolina can cover 18.5. Thirteen was a stretch for sure. But let’s see some inspired play. Let’s hear Sandstorm at Death Valley.
My Pick: South Carolina +18.5
#19 Georgia at Tennessee, 3:30 p.m., CBS
Do some of this please.
I know players aren’t supposed to pay attention to things like gambling, but I hope Georgia players are insulted by this line. To cover a 2.5 point spread, Georgia could be trailing by 12 points late in the game. I’m struggling to see what Tennessee does better than Georgia. Say what you want about Greyson Lambert but he’s thrown for 40 more yards this season than Josh Dobbs and he’s done that with nearly 30% fewer passes. Jalen Hurd and Alvin Kamara form a talented backfield, but would you take those guys over Nick Chubb and Sony Michel? Georgia is 25th in the nation in passing yards allowed per game, Tennessee is 89th. Georgia’s allowing 123.6 rushing yards per contest; Tennessee’s giving up 171.6. The only way Georgia loses this game is special teams mishaps (all but guaranteed) and issues defending a mobile QB (a possibility). But I can think of 100 ways Tennessee could lose this game.
My Pick: Georgia -2.5
Troy at Mississippi State, 4 p.m., SEC Network
My Pick: Troy +30.5
Arkansas at #8 Alabama, 7 p.m., ESPN
Arkansas is gonna keep this thing tight yall. I’m telling you. That’s all I’m saying because I don’t know if I really believe that. But let’s do this. Road underdogs gonna cover.
My Pick: Arkansas +17.5
#11 Florida at Missouri
Man. This is just what Missouri does. Florida’s cruising along, biggest win in the SEC East (and one of the biggest in the nation, period) so far this year: check. Undefeated record: check. Red-faced prick as a coach: check. Then BOOM. Enter mediocre Missouri to make things interesting. I think Florida’s safe. And I want the Gators safe so as to make the impending Bulldog victory in Jacksonville as meaningful as possible and so as to all but remove the Tigers from contention. But this could be scary.
My Pick: Florida -3.5
That’s all I got/
Posted on October 8, 2015, in Alabama, Arkansas, Arkansas, Auburn, Blog, Florida Gators, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, LSU, Mississippi State, Missouri, Ole Miss, Picks, SEC, South Carolina Gamecocks, Tennessee, Texas A&M, The UGA Vault. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.