Georgia Has the 54th-Best Home Field Advantage in the Nation Per Bogus Wall Street Journal Study


I didn’t even take the time to read the methodology behind this because I can 100% guarantee you the following rankings of “Biggest Home Field Advantage” are completely busted:

  • No. 1: North Texas. Ok.
  • No. 4: Kansas. LOLz.
  • No. 5: Marshall. Ha.
  • No. 7: Rice: This is incredible.
  • No. 10 Buffalo. Giggles.

Also in the Top 10, a few somewhat, almost believable schools like Wisconsin (I’m in), Arkansas (meh), Baylor (new stadium renovations, hot team, OK), Michigan (sure), Kansas State (possible).

But this keeps going. LSU doesn’t come in until No. 13 which is how you know this is bogus. That’s right behind UTEP (No. 11) and one spot ahead of Hawaii. Also incorrectly in the Top 25:

  • Air Force (15)
  • Nevada (16)
  • LA Tech (17)
  • San Diego State (18)
  • Boise State (19)
  • Colorado State (20)
  • Arkansas State (23)
  • Georgia Southern (24)
  • New Mexico State (25)

Know what a lot of these programs have in common? The Wall Street Journal would tell you that they “perform better than expected” at home. That is debatable. But much less debatable is the fact that these schools (North Texas, Marshall, Rice, Buffalo, Air Force, Nevada, LA Tech, SDSU, Boise, Colorado State, Arkansas State, Georgia Southern, New Mexico State in particular) do not play Power 5 opposition often at home.

Take Arkansas State as an example. The Red Wolves host Mizzou this weekend, a real rarity among this group of schools. Last year their home schedule featured NM State, App State, South Alabama, UL-Monroe, Utah State and Montana State. In 2013 they hosted Georgia State, Texas State, LA-Lafayette, Idaho, Troy and Arkansas Pine-Bluff. In 2012 the got visits from MTSU, UL-M, South Alabama, Western Kentucky, Alcorn State and Memphis. The last Power 5 opponent Arkansas State hosted was Louisville in 2010 and Louisville played in the now irrelevant Big East at that point in time.

Now, contrast that with the Arkansas Razorbacks. From 2010-2014 Arkansas hosted 24 games against Power 5 opponents. They hosted 15 ranked opponents.

Even if you adjust those two schedules to account for strength of opposition, you’d be an idiot to think Arkansas State wouldn’t have the better shot at outperforming expectation. I don’t care how badly you scale down Arkansas Pine-Bluff (for Ark. State) and how highly you scale up Alabama (as an Arkansas opponent), I’d bet 10 times out of 10 that the Red Wolves would surprise Ark.-PB instead of the Razorbacks surprising the Crimson Tide.

It’s harder to out-perform expectations against good teams. Period. That’s why teams are considered good. Both teams can’t out-perform expectations.

That’s why a program like South Carolina (raucous home environment) and an incredibly impressive home record relative to opposition, didn’t come in until No. 30 in this stupid ranking and Alabama is in the middle of the pack at 61.

For what it’s worth here’s how the SEC home field advantages were regarded in the ranking:

  • Alabama: 61
  • Arkansas: 3
  • Auburn: 58
  • Florida: 94
  • Georgia: 54
  • Kentucky: 71
  • LSU: 13
  • Miss. State: 28
  • Missouri: 96
  • Ole Miss: 53
  • South Carolina:30
  • Tennessee: 44
  • Texas A&M: 78
  • Vanderbilt: 125
  • Average: 57.7

 

That’s all I got/

Andrew

About dudeyoucrazy

College Football Writer

Posted on September 10, 2015, in Alabama, Arkansas, Arkansas, Auburn, Blog, Florida Gators, Georgia Bulldogs, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State, Missouri, Ole Miss, SEC, South Carolina Gamecocks, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt. Bookmark the permalink. 1 Comment.

  1. I’ve attended SEC games in Columbia, Nashville, Knoxville, Gainesville, Athens, Auburn, and Baton Rouge… along with JAX.

    Also attended games at Cal, Stanford, and San Jose, all laughable, and the GT fag-box.

    I have yet to get up to Oregon, but will soon…

    Never been to the Horseshoe, Big House, ND, Texas A&M or Arkansas.

    That all being said, the night game in Knoxville felt the most hostile and, without a doubt, affected the mechanics of the opposing offense most severely.

    The Wall Street Journal should stick to getting finance wrong and leave getting sports wrong to those better qualified.

What do you think?

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: