Category Archives: Georgia Bulldogs
Greyson Lambert gets the start. Will double last names bring luck where double first names (Aaron Murray, Hutson Mason) came up short?
— Andrew Hall (@DudeYouCrazy) August 31, 2015
As I said on the DudeYouPodcast last night, Lambert starting is neither good news nor bad news in and of itself. And Richt naming him a starter isn’t all that enlightening. But here’s what we know:
- At this moment Greyson Lambert has separated himself as the most viable option at quarterback. We learned that on Monday. If we’re reading a little bit into this then we can assume that Lambert was more consistent than Brice Ramsey (who looked downright mediocre at times last year) and Faton Bauta (whose calling card is versatility). If we’re reading a lot into this then the gap between Lambert and Ramsey (presumably QB2) might be wider than some might expect given Richt’s historical favoring of the more tenured Georgia QB to open the season (Greene over Shockley, JT3 over Stafford, Cox over Murray, Mason over Ramsey, etc.).
- The Georgia fans clamoring for more Brice Ramsey in 2014 were/are idiots. We know that now more than ever. Remember that after a 3-1 start to the 2014 season, a large number of faithful Georgia fans wanted Hutson Mason benched in favor of Brice Ramsey. The reason for this desired change remains a mystery to me, but apparently Ramsey’s 4 of 8 passing performance for 66 yards and a touchdown against Troy merited a change. Apparently, it did not. And apparently Ramsey was not only ill-prepared to take ownership of the starting spot in 2014 (as evidenced by Hutson Mason keeping his job), but he also was unable to fend off the rise of a transfer who struggled at Virginia. So once and for all we should be able to squash the contrived beef between Ramsey and Mason from last season. After all, if Ramsey (after one more year at Georgia) isn’t decidedly better than a QB who couldn’t keep his job at 5-7 Virginia, he definitely wasn’t better than the quarterback that led Georgia to 10 wins.
- Lastly, we now know that Lambert was brought in to contend for this job and that when surrounded by a high level of talent he emerged as a serviceable quarterback. This isn’t how anyone would have drawn it up, but it’s not entirely surprising either. Remember, Georgia fans wanted Ramsey last year because of the hype that surrounded him as a recruit. In the class of 2013, Ramsey was the 6th best Pro-Style QB (per 247Sports) in the country and he held offers from all the big dogs (Georgia, Alabama, Clemson, Florida, Florida State, Ohio State, etc.). Lambert showed just as much potential as a recruit. In 2012, he was the 8th best Pro-Style QB in the nation (per 247Sports) and boasted offers from the likes of Georgia, Alabama, Clemson, South Carolina, Miami, Louisville, etc. The knock on Ramsey, at least in my mind, has been that after enrolling early, redshirting. playing a season and surviving a spring and summer (he’s been on campus for 32 months!) he still struggled with inconsistency and appeared inexperienced. Greyson Lambert, for better or worse, can’t claim the same level of inexperience given his 336 career collegiate pass attempts and 16 game appearances. I don’t think Lambert “lost potential” and I given his physical skills (huge frame, cannon for an arm), it’s hard to say his potential was miscast. That should excite Georgia fans because no matter who plays QB, Georgia’s offense should be prolific.
That’s all I got/
Happy last Friday before football starts!
A few updates from the SEC quarterback races, no real surprises.
South Carolina: Connor Mitch, of six career pass attempts, has been named the starter for next Thursday’s bout with UNC. Also, someone in COLA is pretending to be him at bars.
Texas A&M: Sophomore Kyle Allen, unsurprisingly, has been named the starter. True freshman Kyler Murray will definitely see action, though.
LSU: No real news, but I heard on XM that Brandon Harris is ‘trending slightly ahead’ of Anthony Jennings. Harris looked good in mop-up duty in the near-comeback against Mississippi State last year, but the rest of his freshman season was pretty much a wash.
Florida: No real news, but both Will Grier and Treon Harris will see snaps against New Mexico State.
Alabama, Ole Miss, and Georgia: All quiet on the Western (and Eastern) fronts.
In other news…
Speaking of Florida, who broke spring ball with SIX scholarship offensive linemen, freshman stud tackle Martez Ivey is getting his knee scoped and is expected to miss about half of the season. Definitely hurts their chance to gain early momentum early in SEC play, where their longstanding winning streaks against Kentucky (28 games) and Tennessee (10) are on the line.
And really, that’s it. I’m ready for some damn football.
Eight. Days. Until. Football.
This survey is an absolute travesty, and WordPress is not being very helpful in the formatting department. Apologies for both in advance. Many thanks to the staff for taking the time to save you from it being just me talking about the season, yet again.
Today is Georgia questions, tomorrow is on the national scale.
Comment with your own answers below!
Chad Floyd: 11 regular season wins and (obviously) win the SEC East. The crossover opponents are tough, but this team is head and shoulders above the rest of the division. Split with the Alabama schools, beat everyone else, and go to Atlanta with a playoff bid on the line.
Daniel Palmer: Success for Georgia to me is less a reflection on wins and losses, and more what we see out of this team week to week. A hallmark of the 2014 season was marked improvement week to week in each phase of the game, but there were monumental setbacks (Florida, GT). What I want this year is consistent growth as a team; they keep from backsliding and making the same mistakes, and wins and losses will take care of themselves.
Jason Smith: Beating Florida.
Andrew Hall: A loss to Bama is all but expected. Beyond that missing out on winning the East is outright failure.Chad Floyd: Anything short of a playoff/’Group of Six’ bowl appearance.
Daniel Palmer: If the narrative for this season devolves into “if they only found a quarterback”, then you’ll know we are in trouble. There’s too much optimism around this team for the man under center to define 2015 in a negative light. Once we fall back to quarterback excuses, then EVERYTHING has fallen off the rails and we’re in full rebuild mode.
Jason Smith: Losing to Tech.
Andrew Hall: 10-2 regular season. SECCG Loss, Bowl Win…so 11-3 depending on how you do this.
Chad Floyd: 11-1. Everything postseason is a toss-up.
Daniel Palmer: 10-2
Jason Smith: 10-2
Andrew Hall: Missouri. It always inexplicable to lose to Mizzou. After Tennessee and Bama comes the let down game
Chad Floyd: (I don’t find Tennessee inexplicable). South Carolina. An easy September slate means we have to stub our toe somewhere, right?
Daniel Palmer: God help me, Tennessee.
Jason Smith: The answer to this question is ALWAYS South Carolina.
Andrew Hall: On offense let’s look at Jay Rome to have a big year. I love Blaze as much as the next guy (assuming the next guy isn’t Daniel Palmer), but Rome is getting lots of 1st Team reps for a reason and is more athletic. (Editor’s note: There was no pick for the defense.)
Chad Floyd: Offense: Brice Ramsey. Defense: Jake Ganus (the UAB transfer LB).
Daniel Palmer: Offense: Jeb Blaze. Defense: Pick a DB every week.
Jason Smith: Offense: Terry Godwin. Defense: Trenton Thompson.
What’s the stupidest thing Special Teams will do?
Andrew Hall: Beyond at least one missed extra point and several chip shot field goals (which will happen), look for Georgia to attempt an onside kick early in a game in an attempt to capitalize on momentum and miss out. Then, a mediocre opponent offense gets the ball at mid-field and scores shortly before the half before receiving a 2nd half kickoff and scoring again.
Chad Floyd: Botched punt snap in the 4th quarter of a close game in one of our SEC on CBS appearances.
Daniel Palmer: Yes.
Jason Smith: Miss a seemingly chip shot field goal that means absolutely nothing at the moment but will end up costing us a game because our offense is having an off night.
What’s the game you will have to be most intoxicated to watch?
Andrew Hall: South Carolina. That’s always my answer. You can’t not be drunk for Georgia/South Carolina. Win was the last time Georgia won one of these games with any semblance of ease? 2014 was a loss, 2013 was close late, 2012/2011/2010 were losses, 2009 was a 4-pt win, 2008 was 14-7, 2007 was a loss, 2006 was an 18-0 win with unsteady freshman Matt Stafford, 2005 was a 2-point win, 2004 was a 4-point win. We’re talking 2003. Damn.
Chad Floyd: South Carolina/Auburn. I have too much local/social hate invested in both of them.
Daniel Palmer: As has become tradition, I will be watching the Florida game by myself in silence surrounded by whiskey and moonshine.
Jason Smith: The answer to this question is ALWAYS Florida.
With the aforementioned release of Bill Connelly (USA Today’s dropped this morning, too), there are enough comprehensive college football rankings to do some kind of analysis on them.
Now, let me reiterate: Connelly and Steele are my go-to prognosticators. Why? For one, their factors involve so much more data than the typical returning starters and previous year’s record. Steele has 9 analytical models he uses to produce his rankings, Connelly probably has even more (it doesn’t hurt that they’re both high on the Dawgs for 2015).
Another factor separating them from the national journalists is the fact that they evaluate teams on an “if X played Y” basis, to evaluate team strength. For example, both have Tennessee in their top 20. The thought process follows that the Vols may go 8-4 against this year’s schedule, but put them in the Big Ten or ACC and they may be a 10-2 or 11-1 team.
USA Today and CBSSports, on the other hand? Probably pure clickbait/conversation pieces. CBS especially, as it ranks all of four SEC teams in its top 25. I’m not the world’s foremost SEC apologist, but that’s patently absurd and no objective reader would disagree. Vanderbilt is hot garbage, but are they really only better than seven teams in the country? I highly doubt it.
Here is the chart I put together for the whole SEC, with their average rankings calculated by some furious Excel spreadsheeting:
So, on average, exactly half of the SEC is ranked in the top 25, and there are really no surprises: Alabama, Auburn, Georgia, Ole Miss, LSU, Arkansas, and Tennessee. Arkansas and Tennessee are obviously teams that have to prove it on the field, but their finishes made pundits more bullish on them than another high-potential team in Texas A&M.
I also used the data to see the average ranking of each team by each outlet. The key number here? Again, CBS as an outlier, with the SEC ranked almost 10 full spots below the other outlets, on average. Some real #Haterade there, they throw off what is otherwise a fairly good consensus ranking of each team.
Assuming, as a homer would, that CBS is therefore unreliable:
Of distinct note is two flip-flops in the rankings: Georgia vaults to second in the SEC, from an average ranking of 9th to somewhere in the ether between 6 and 7. And my thoughts on Florida are somewhat validated, as they move up 8 spots and jump South Carolina.
If you were curious, Georgia’s nonconference opponents rank as follows:
Tech, as they earned last year and with the return of Justin Thomas and a good bit of its defense, sits somewhere between LSU and Arkansas. Given wins over very strong Georgia and Mississippi State teams last year, that sounds about right to me. Georgia Southern had a GREAT season last year, and is seen, nationally, as Kentucky’s equal. Hopefully the opener against Monroe provides an opportunity to see all three quarterbacks, since that battle ain’t getting settled before September 5.
All told, the rankings of Georgia’s opponents go as follows:
South Carolina: 43.25
Georgia HAS to get out of September 4-0.
Again, note that Tennessee and Missouri are top-25 teams without CBS. Florida is a top-40 team, and well…they’re Florida.
Georgia Southern: 63.5
Given the difficulty of October and my bias towards two things: that we should never lose to Tech and I don’t think Auburn is THAT good, November needs to be another 4-0 month. The playoff committee loves them some teams on hot streaks.
Anyway, this is a lot of data to tackle, but a good place to continue your thoughts on the 2015 season. Any more numbers y’all want crunched? Any further takeaways that I missed in this skim? Shoot me a comment or a tweet @Chad_Floyd and I’ll get on it.
It’s sure starting to look that way.
— Logan Booker (@LoganMBooker) August 18, 2015
My take? I’m tired of the black jersey rumors. Given a 2-1 (by my quick mental count) record donning them, it doesn’t do any more to inspire the players or predict success. In fact, the net effect has been more deleterious than good.
On the other hand? If we’re going to do it, it may as well be an added boost in a game we should win. Wouldn’t want the hangover effect from a win in the Cocktail Party the week before to derail a playoff run.